Entries Tagged as ‘election polling’

April 2, 2009

What are the Republicans Thinking?

For reasons completely beyond me, I’m on the Republican National Committee’s junk mail list. This morning, I received the strangely bad survey they’ve been taking to try to figue out what they’re doing wrong and what they can do to fix it.
Partisan feelings aside (for the moment), this isn’t a horrible idea; there’s nothing wrong [...]

December 2, 2008

A Quick Thought: Where Are We Headed?

Just a quick thought:
Where is the industry headed, not ten or even five years down the road, but three years down the road?
When we start taking serious, state-level polls on the 2012 presidential election, will we be doing it mostly still on the telephone? Will political research have moved to the web? Will market research [...]

November 18, 2008

Why We Fight

I think I need the occasional reminder that the point of this isn’t so much to point and laugh at Greenfield and other worthy targets, but instead that bad research needs to be eliminated, because it actually hurts us all.
What’s the long-term effect of Greenfield getting respondents to take survey after survey, in a never-ending [...]

November 12, 2008

What the Hell is This About?

I can’t figure out why Zogby is asking this; I’m not aware of either candidate having anything specific to say about either steroids or tort reform, and I’m really pretty sure that if they had spoken about steroids, they’ve have been on the same side of the issue, no?

Weird.

November 5, 2008

Been Busy…

Pretty sure I mentioned this before:
There is no such thing as a Bradley Effect. There certainly isn’t one now, and there wasn’t one in the Bradley race, either, though there MAY have been one in the Wilder race for governor in VA.
Thank you, Barack Obama, for proving it.

October 14, 2008

Dear Correspondents:

Before e-mailing the pollster to complain that the pollster is “cooking the books” for candidate so-and-so because the poll includes 15 points more members of Party A than members of Party B, please check the official party registration statistics for the state in question, because it’s probably going to show, if the state in question [...]

September 14, 2008

So, What’s All This About Party Identification in Election Polls?

Can of worms, I hereby declare you open.
OK. If you’re paying attention to the Presidential race, you probably have noticed a few controversies over election polling in the past few weeks. Here’s a short summary:

RNC holds convention, picks Sarah Palin as VP.
Various polls show McCain/Palin with pretty large surge.
Various blogger types complain the polls are [...]